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PulteGroup (PHM, Homebuilding) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Mixed on our tests

PulteGroup (PHM, Homebuilding) trades at a blended P/E of 11.2, about 11% above its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 10.8% and a PEG of 1.04. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 27% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 10.1 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $115.73 corresponds to about $105 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

DATA AS OF 2026-10-05
Blended P/E
11.2
Normal P/E
10.1
PEG
1.04
Fwd growth
10.8%
Div yield
0.9%
RSI (14)
38.8
Neutral
Technical context
  • Price $113.53 at the 2026-10-08 close, 3.4% below the 20-day average ($117.48) and 8.0% below the 50-day ($123.40).
  • RSI (14) at 38.8.
  • 52-week range $109.64 to $141.65: the price is 19.9% below the high and 3.5% above the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for PHM is $140.00 across 16 analysts, 23.3% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: mixed on our tests. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating moved from favorable on our tests (2026-06-03) to mixed on our tests (2026-10-05).

Blended P/E and rating by weekBlended P/E moved from 11.0 to 11.2 between 2026-06-03 and 2026-10-02, against a normal P/E of 10.1, with 6 rating changes over 37 recorded weeks.2026-06-03: P/E 11.0, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-032026-06-10: P/E 11.1, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-102026-06-12: P/E 11.1, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-142026-06-16: P/E 11.1, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-162026-06-18: P/E 11.1, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-212026-07-02: P/E 12.5, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-022026-07-06: P/E 12.6, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-062026-07-09: P/E 12.6, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-092026-07-10: P/E 11.8, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-122026-07-13: P/E 11.8, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-132026-07-14: P/E 11.8, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-142026-07-20: P/E 12.0, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-202026-07-22: P/E 12.0, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-222026-07-24: P/E 12.2, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-252026-07-27: P/E 12.2, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-272026-07-31: P/E 12.2, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-312026-07-31: P/E 12.0, Favorable on our tests, recorded live 2026-08-032026-08-07: P/E 12.0, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-072026-08-07: P/E 12.6, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-08-102026-08-14: P/E 12.4, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-142026-08-14: P/E 12.4, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-08-172026-08-21: P/E 12.2, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-212026-08-21: P/E 12.3, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-08-242026-08-27: P/E 12.3, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-272026-08-28: P/E 12.1, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-282026-08-28: P/E 12.3, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-302026-08-28: P/E 12.3, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-08-312026-09-04: P/E 11.9, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-052026-09-04: P/E 11.9, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-09-072026-09-11: P/E 11.3, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-122026-09-11: P/E 11.3, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-09-142026-09-18: P/E 11.3, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-192026-09-18: P/E 11.3, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-09-212026-09-25: P/E 11.6, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-262026-09-25: P/E 11.6, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-09-282026-10-02: P/E 11.2, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-032026-10-02: P/E 11.2, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-10-0511.012.0Jun 3Jul 3Aug 2Sep 2Oct 2Normal P/E 10.1
Favorable on our testsMixed on our testsTrading above its usual valuation

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, every week the rating moved, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-03P/E 11.0+9%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-06P/E 12.6+25%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-25P/E 12.2+21%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-03P/E 12.0+19%Favorable on our tests
2026-08-10P/E 12.6+25%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-08-28P/E 12.1+20%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-30P/E 12.3+21%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-09-05P/E 11.9+18%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 11.2+11%Mixed on our tests ← now
Show all 37 weeks
WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-03P/E 11.0+9%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-06-10P/E 11.1+10%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-06-14P/E 11.1+10%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-06-16P/E 11.1+10%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-06-21P/E 11.1+10%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-02P/E 12.5+24%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-06P/E 12.6+25%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-09P/E 12.6+25%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-12P/E 11.8+17%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-13P/E 11.8+17%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-14P/E 11.8+17%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-20P/E 12.0+19%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-22P/E 12.0+19%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-25P/E 12.2+21%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-07-27P/E 12.2+21%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-07-31P/E 12.2+21%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-03P/E 12.0+19%Favorable on our tests
2026-08-07P/E 12.0+19%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-10P/E 12.6+25%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-08-14P/E 12.4+23%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-17P/E 12.4+22%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-08-21P/E 12.2+20%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-24P/E 12.3+22%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-08-27P/E 12.3+22%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-28P/E 12.1+20%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-30P/E 12.3+21%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-31P/E 12.3+21%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-09-05P/E 11.9+18%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-09-07P/E 11.9+18%Mixed on our tests
2026-09-12P/E 11.3+12%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-09-14P/E 11.3+12%Mixed on our tests
2026-09-19P/E 11.3+12%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-09-21P/E 11.3+12%Mixed on our tests
2026-09-26P/E 11.6+14%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-09-28P/E 11.6+14%Mixed on our tests
2026-10-03P/E 11.2+11%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 11.2+11%Mixed on our tests ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is PulteGroup stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 11.2 versus its historical normal P/E of 10.1, PulteGroup trades about 11% above its typical valuation, with a PEG of 1.04 on 10.8% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it mixed on our tests.

What is PulteGroup's fair value and PEG?

PulteGroup trades at a blended P/E of 11.2 against a historical normal P/E of 10.1, a PEG of 1.04, and a forward growth estimate of 10.8%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 10.1 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $115.73 corresponds to about $105 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of PulteGroup changed?

tickerseer's rating moved from favorable on our tests (2026-06-03) to mixed on our tests (2026-10-05).

What is the analyst price target for PulteGroup?

The mean Wall Street price target for PulteGroup is $140.00 across 16 analysts, 23.3% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Homebuilding. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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