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RXO, Inc. (RXO, Cargo Ground Transportation) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Significantly overvalued

RXO, Inc. (RXO, Cargo Ground Transportation) trades at a blended P/E of 265.4, about 177% above its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate above 100% and a PEG of 1.32. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 95.7 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $23.38 corresponds to about $8.43 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Blended P/E
265.4
Normal P/E
95.7
PEG
1.32
Fwd growth
>100%
Div yield
0.0%
RSI (14)
80.5
Overbought
Technical context
  • Price $28.93 at the 2026-10-08 close, 32.2% above the 20-day average ($21.88) and 34.0% above the 50-day ($21.59).
  • RSI (14) at 80.5.
  • 52-week range $10.48 to $29.30: the price is 1.3% below the high and 176.0% above the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for RXO is $24.42 across 18 analysts, 15.6% below the current price. The average analyst rating is Hold. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: significantly overvalued. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating has been significantly overvalued since 2026-08-10.

Blended P/E and rating by weekBlended P/E moved from 387.5 to 265.4 between 2026-08-07 and 2026-10-02, against a normal P/E of 95.7, with 0 rating changes over 19 recorded weeks.2026-08-07: P/E 387.5, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-102026-08-14: P/E 387.5, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-142026-08-14: P/E 398.2, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-172026-08-21: P/E 398.2, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-212026-08-21: P/E 362.8, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-242026-08-27: P/E 362.8, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-272026-08-28: P/E 362.8, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-282026-08-28: P/E 362.8, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-302026-08-28: P/E 336.0, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-312026-09-04: P/E 336.0, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-052026-09-04: P/E 302.6, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-072026-09-11: P/E 302.6, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-122026-09-11: P/E 248.9, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-142026-09-18: P/E 248.9, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-192026-09-18: P/E 248.4, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-212026-09-25: P/E 248.4, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-262026-09-25: P/E 233.3, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-282026-10-02: P/E 233.3, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-032026-10-02: P/E 265.4, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-10-05100.0200.0300.0Aug 7Aug 21Sep 4Sep 18Oct 2Normal P/E 95.7
Significantly overvalued

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-08-10P/E 387.5+305%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-17P/E 398.2+316%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-28P/E 233.3+144%Significantly overvalued
2026-10-05P/E 265.4+177%Significantly overvalued ← now
Show all 19 weeks
WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-08-10P/E 387.5+305%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-14P/E 387.5+305%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-17P/E 398.2+316%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-21P/E 398.2+316%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-24P/E 362.8+279%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-27P/E 362.8+279%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-28P/E 362.8+279%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-30P/E 362.8+279%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-31P/E 336.0+251%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-05P/E 336.0+251%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-07P/E 302.6+216%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-12P/E 302.6+216%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-14P/E 248.9+160%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-19P/E 248.9+160%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-21P/E 248.4+159%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-26P/E 248.4+159%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-28P/E 233.3+144%Significantly overvalued
2026-10-03P/E 233.3+144%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 265.4+177%Significantly overvalued ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is RXO, Inc. stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 265.4 versus its historical normal P/E of 95.7, RXO, Inc. trades about 177% above its typical valuation, with a PEG of 1.32 on forward growth above 100%. tickerseer currently rates it significantly overvalued.

What is RXO, Inc.'s fair value and PEG?

RXO, Inc. trades at a blended P/E of 265.4 against a historical normal P/E of 95.7, a PEG of 1.32, and a forward growth estimate above 100%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 95.7 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $23.38 corresponds to about $8.43 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of RXO, Inc. changed?

tickerseer's rating has been significantly overvalued since 2026-08-10.

What is the analyst price target for RXO, Inc.?

The mean Wall Street price target for RXO, Inc. is $24.42 across 18 analysts, 15.6% below the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Cargo Ground Transportation. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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