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Shake Shack (SHAK, Restaurants) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Significantly overvalued

Shake Shack (SHAK, Restaurants) trades at a blended P/E of 46.4, about 51% below its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 16.6% and a PEG of 2.80. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 20% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 94.2 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-09-18 close of $54.88 corresponds to about $112 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

DATA AS OF 2026-09-21
Blended P/E
46.4
Normal P/E
94.2
PEG
2.80
Fwd growth
16.6%
Div yield
0.0%
RSI (14)
37.8
Neutral
Technical context
  • Price $58.47 at the 2026-09-23 close, 9.4% below the 20-day average ($64.55) and 10.8% below the 50-day ($65.58).
  • RSI (14) at 37.8.
  • 52-week range $52.34 to $104.69: the price is 44.1% below the high and 11.7% above the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for SHAK is $80.84 across 25 analysts, 38.3% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: significantly overvalued. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating has been significantly overvalued since 2026-07-31.

Blended P/E and rating by weekBlended P/E moved from 52.2 to 46.4 between 2026-07-31 and 2026-09-21, against a normal P/E of 94.2, with 0 rating changes over 18 recorded weeks.2026-07-31: P/E 52.2, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-08-03: P/E 52.0, Significantly overvalued2026-08-07: P/E 52.0, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-08-10: P/E 59.0, Significantly overvalued2026-08-14: P/E 59.0, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-08-17: P/E 62.6, Significantly overvalued2026-08-21: P/E 62.6, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-08-24: P/E 63.6, Significantly overvalued2026-08-27: P/E 63.6, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-08-28: P/E 63.6, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-08-30: P/E 63.6, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-08-31: P/E 58.8, Significantly overvalued2026-09-05: P/E 58.8, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-09-07: P/E 58.6, Significantly overvalued2026-09-12: P/E 58.6, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-09-14: P/E 53.9, Significantly overvalued2026-09-19: P/E 53.9, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-09-21: P/E 46.4, Significantly overvalued60.080.0Jul 31Aug 13Aug 26Sep 8Sep 21Normal P/E 94.2
Attractively valuedFairly valuedAbove fair valueLarger dot: a stronger reading

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-07-31P/E 52.2-45%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-24P/E 63.6-32%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-21P/E 46.4-51%Significantly overvalued ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is Shake Shack stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 46.4 versus its historical normal P/E of 94.2, Shake Shack trades about 51% below its typical valuation, with a PEG of 2.80 on 16.6% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it significantly overvalued.

What is Shake Shack's fair value and PEG?

Shake Shack trades at a blended P/E of 46.4 against a historical normal P/E of 94.2, a PEG of 2.80, and a forward growth estimate of 16.6%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 94.2 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-09-18 close of $54.88 corresponds to about $112 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of Shake Shack changed?

tickerseer's rating has been significantly overvalued since 2026-07-31.

What is the analyst price target for Shake Shack?

The mean Wall Street price target for Shake Shack is $80.84 across 25 analysts, 38.3% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Restaurants. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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