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Shake Shack (SHAK, Restaurant chains) Stock Valuation & Fair Value

Poor on forward returns

Shake Shack (SHAK, Restaurant chains) trades at a current P/E of 61.8, about 34% below its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 20.0% and a PEG of 3.08. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 20% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 94.2 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-11-06 close of $71.89 corresponds to about $110 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

How to read these numbers: the PEG ratio and current P/E versus normal P/E.

DATA AS OF 2026-11-07
Current P/E
61.8
Normal P/E
94.2
PEG
3.08
Fwd growth
20.0%
Div yield
0.0%
RSI (14)
58.3
Neutral
Technical context
  • Price $71.89 at the Nov 6 close, 3.7% above the 20-day average ($69.35) and 10.5% above the 50-day ($65.04).
  • RSI (14) at 58.3.
  • 52-week range $52.34 to $104.69: the price is 31.3% below the high and 37.4% above the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for SHAK is $80.75 across 24 analysts, 12.3% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: poor on forward returns. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating has been poor on forward returns since 2026-07-31.

Current P/E and rating by weekCurrent P/E moved from 52.2 to 60.6 between 2026-07-31 and 2026-10-30, against a normal P/E of 94.2, with 0 rating changes over 14 recorded weeks.2026-07-31: P/E 52.2, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-312026-07-31: P/E 52.0, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-032026-08-07: P/E 52.0, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-072026-08-07: P/E 59.0, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-102026-08-14: P/E 59.0, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-142026-08-14: P/E 62.6, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-172026-08-21: P/E 62.6, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-212026-08-21: P/E 63.6, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-242026-08-27: P/E 63.6, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-272026-08-28: P/E 63.6, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-282026-08-28: P/E 63.6, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-302026-08-28: P/E 58.8, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-312026-09-04: P/E 58.8, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-052026-09-04: P/E 58.6, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-072026-09-11: P/E 58.6, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-122026-09-11: P/E 53.9, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-142026-09-18: P/E 53.9, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-192026-09-18: P/E 46.4, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-212026-09-25: P/E 46.4, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-262026-09-25: P/E 47.4, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-282026-10-02: P/E 47.4, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-032026-10-02: P/E 51.6, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-10-052026-10-09: P/E 51.6, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-102026-10-09: P/E 56.8, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-10-122026-10-16: P/E 56.8, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-172026-10-16: P/E 59.8, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-10-192026-10-23: P/E 55.5, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-10-262026-10-30: P/E 55.5, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-312026-10-30: P/E 60.6, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-11-0260.080.0Jul 31Aug 23Sep 15Oct 7Oct 30Normal P/E 94.2
Poor on forward returns

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated are worked out from the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekCurrent P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-07-31P/E 52.2-45%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-24P/E 63.6-32%Poor on forward returns
2026-09-21P/E 46.4-51%Poor on forward returns
2026-11-02P/E 60.6-36%Poor on forward returns ← now
Show all 29 readings
WeekCurrent P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-07-31P/E 52.2-45%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-03P/E 52.0-45%Poor on forward returns
2026-08-07P/E 52.0-45%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-10P/E 59.0-37%Poor on forward returns
2026-08-14P/E 59.0-37%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-17P/E 62.6-34%Poor on forward returns
2026-08-21P/E 62.6-34%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-24P/E 63.6-32%Poor on forward returns
2026-08-27P/E 63.6-32%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-28P/E 63.6-32%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-30P/E 63.6-32%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-31P/E 58.8-38%Poor on forward returns
2026-09-05P/E 58.8-38%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-07P/E 58.6-38%Poor on forward returns
2026-09-12P/E 58.6-38%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-14P/E 53.9-43%Poor on forward returns
2026-09-19P/E 53.9-43%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-21P/E 46.4-51%Poor on forward returns
2026-09-26P/E 46.4-51%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-28P/E 47.4-50%Poor on forward returns
2026-10-03P/E 47.4-50%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 51.6-45%Poor on forward returns
2026-10-10P/E 51.6-45%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-10-12P/E 56.8-40%Poor on forward returns
2026-10-17P/E 56.8-40%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-10-19P/E 59.8-36%Poor on forward returns
2026-10-26P/E 55.5-41%Poor on forward returns
2026-10-31P/E 55.5-41%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-11-02P/E 60.6-36%Poor on forward returns ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is Shake Shack stock overvalued?

At a current P/E of 61.8 versus its historical normal P/E of 94.2, Shake Shack trades about 34% below its typical valuation, with a PEG of 3.08 on 20.0% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it poor on forward returns.

What is Shake Shack's fair value and PEG?

Shake Shack trades at a current P/E of 61.8 against a historical normal P/E of 94.2, a PEG of 3.08, and a forward growth estimate of 20.0%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 94.2 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-11-06 close of $71.89 corresponds to about $110 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of Shake Shack changed?

tickerseer's rating has been poor on forward returns since 2026-07-31.

What is the analyst price target for Shake Shack?

The mean Wall Street price target for Shake Shack is $80.75 across 24 analysts, 12.3% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Restaurant chains. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and an AI research note where we have one. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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