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Texas Roadhouse (TXRH, Restaurants) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Quality business with a solid forward outlook

Texas Roadhouse (TXRH, Restaurants) trades at a blended P/E of 25.9, about 4% above its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 18.9% and a PEG of 1.37. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 64% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 24.9 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-09-18 close of $167.56 corresponds to about $161 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

DATA AS OF 2026-09-21
Blended P/E
25.9
Normal P/E
24.9
PEG
1.37
Fwd growth
18.9%
Div yield
1.8%
RSI (14)
19.4
Oversold
Technical context
  • Price $164.84 at the 2026-09-23 close, 10.1% below the 20-day average ($183.45) and 15.2% below the 50-day ($194.50).
  • RSI (14) at 19.4.
  • 52-week range $154.62 to $213.46: the price is 22.8% below the high and 6.6% above the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for TXRH is $217.54 across 24 analysts, 32.0% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: quality business with a solid forward outlook. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating moved from trading above fair value (2026-07-31) to fairly valued (2026-09-21).

Blended P/E and rating by weekBlended P/E moved from 33.1 to 25.9 between 2026-07-31 and 2026-09-21, against a normal P/E of 24.9, with 1 rating change over 18 recorded weeks.2026-07-31: P/E 33.1, Trading above fair value (recalculated)2026-08-03: P/E 32.7, Trading above fair value2026-08-07: P/E 32.7, Trading above fair value (recalculated)2026-08-10: P/E 32.5, Trading above fair value2026-08-14: P/E 32.5, Trading above fair value (recalculated)2026-08-17: P/E 32.3, Trading above fair value2026-08-21: P/E 32.3, Trading above fair value (recalculated)2026-08-24: P/E 31.9, Trading above fair value2026-08-27: P/E 31.9, Trading above fair value (recalculated)2026-08-28: P/E 31.9, Trading above fair value (recalculated)2026-08-30: P/E 31.9, Trading above fair value (recalculated)2026-08-31: P/E 30.9, Trading above fair value2026-09-05: P/E 30.9, Trading above fair value (recalculated)2026-09-07: P/E 29.4, Trading above fair value2026-09-12: P/E 29.4, Trading above fair value (recalculated)2026-09-14: P/E 28.1, Fairly valued2026-09-19: P/E 28.1, Fairly valued (recalculated)2026-09-21: P/E 25.9, Fairly valued25.027.530.032.5Jul 31Aug 13Aug 26Sep 8Sep 21Normal P/E 24.9
Attractively valuedFairly valuedAbove fair valueLarger dot: a stronger reading

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, every week the rating moved, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-07-31P/E 33.1+33%Trading above fair value
2026-09-14P/E 28.1+13%Fairly valued
2026-09-21P/E 25.9+4%Fairly valued ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is Texas Roadhouse stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 25.9 versus its historical normal P/E of 24.9, Texas Roadhouse trades about 4% above its typical valuation, with a PEG of 1.37 on 18.9% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it quality business with a solid forward outlook.

What is Texas Roadhouse's fair value and PEG?

Texas Roadhouse trades at a blended P/E of 25.9 against a historical normal P/E of 24.9, a PEG of 1.37, and a forward growth estimate of 18.9%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 24.9 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-09-18 close of $167.56 corresponds to about $161 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of Texas Roadhouse changed?

tickerseer's rating moved from trading above fair value (2026-07-31) to fairly valued (2026-09-21).

What is the analyst price target for Texas Roadhouse?

The mean Wall Street price target for Texas Roadhouse is $217.54 across 24 analysts, 32.0% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Restaurants. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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