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Talos Energy (TALO, Oil & Gas Exploration & Production) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Significantly overvalued

Talos Energy (TALO, Oil & Gas Exploration & Production) trades at a blended P/E of 21.2, about 52% above its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of -2.9%. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 9% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 14.0 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $16.78 corresponds to about $11.10 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

DATA AS OF 2026-10-05
Blended P/E
21.2
Normal P/E
14.0
PEG
—
Fwd growth
-2.9%
Div yield
0.0%
RSI (14)
53.3
Neutral
Technical context
  • Price $16.95 at the 2026-10-08 close, 0.4% above the 20-day average ($16.88) and 2.9% above the 50-day ($16.48).
  • RSI (14) at 53.3.
  • 52-week range $9.05 to $18.33: the price is 7.5% below the high and 87.3% above the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for TALO is $20.22 across 9 analysts, 19.3% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: significantly overvalued. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating has been significantly overvalued since 2026-08-17.

Blended P/E and rating by weekBlended P/E moved from 71.1 to 21.2 between 2026-08-14 and 2026-10-02, against a normal P/E of 14.0, with 0 rating changes over 17 recorded weeks.2026-08-14: P/E 71.1, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-172026-08-21: P/E 71.1, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-212026-08-21: P/E 45.3, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-242026-08-27: P/E 45.3, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-272026-08-28: P/E 45.3, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-282026-08-28: P/E 45.3, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-302026-08-28: P/E 39.5, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-312026-09-04: P/E 39.5, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-052026-09-04: P/E 36.7, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-072026-09-11: P/E 36.7, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-122026-09-11: P/E 26.5, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-142026-09-18: P/E 26.5, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-192026-09-18: P/E 24.0, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-212026-09-25: P/E 24.0, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-262026-09-25: P/E 22.0, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-282026-10-02: P/E 22.0, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-032026-10-02: P/E 21.2, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-10-0520.040.060.0Aug 14Aug 26Sep 7Sep 20Oct 2Normal P/E 14.0
Significantly overvalued

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-08-17P/E 71.1+408%Significantly overvalued
2026-10-05P/E 21.2+52%Significantly overvalued ← now
Show all 17 weeks
WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-08-17P/E 71.1+408%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-21P/E 71.1+408%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-24P/E 45.3+224%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-27P/E 45.3+224%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-28P/E 45.3+224%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-30P/E 45.3+224%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-31P/E 39.5+182%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-05P/E 39.5+182%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-07P/E 36.7+162%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-12P/E 36.7+162%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-14P/E 26.5+89%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-19P/E 26.5+89%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-21P/E 24.0+72%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-26P/E 24.0+72%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-28P/E 22.0+57%Significantly overvalued
2026-10-03P/E 22.0+57%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 21.2+52%Significantly overvalued ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is Talos Energy stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 21.2 versus its historical normal P/E of 14.0, Talos Energy trades about 52% above its typical valuation. tickerseer currently rates it significantly overvalued.

What is Talos Energy's fair value and PEG?

Talos Energy trades at a blended P/E of 21.2 against a historical normal P/E of 14.0, a forward growth estimate of -2.9%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 14.0 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $16.78 corresponds to about $11.10 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of Talos Energy changed?

tickerseer's rating has been significantly overvalued since 2026-08-17.

What is the analyst price target for Talos Energy?

The mean Wall Street price target for Talos Energy is $20.22 across 9 analysts, 19.3% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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