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Turning Point Brands (TPB, Tobacco) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Significantly overvalued

Turning Point Brands (TPB, Tobacco) trades at a blended P/E of 37.7, about 81% above its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 33.0% and a PEG of 1.14. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 22% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 20.9 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-09-18 close of $68.14 corresponds to about $37.70 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

DATA AS OF 2026-09-21
Blended P/E
37.7
Normal P/E
20.9
PEG
1.14
Fwd growth
33.0%
Div yield
0.5%
RSI (14)
18.5
Oversold
Technical context
  • Price $60.50 at the 2026-09-23 close, 18.8% below the 20-day average ($74.51) and 23.6% below the 50-day ($79.15).
  • RSI (14) at 18.5.
  • 52-week range $60.50 to $142.54: the price is 57.6% below the high and at the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for TPB is $125.17 across 6 analysts, 106.9% above the current price. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: significantly overvalued. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating has been significantly overvalued since 2026-07-31.

Blended P/E and rating by weekBlended P/E moved from 36.9 to 37.7 between 2026-07-31 and 2026-09-21, against a normal P/E of 20.9, with 0 rating changes over 18 recorded weeks.2026-07-31: P/E 36.9, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-08-03: P/E 36.3, Significantly overvalued2026-08-07: P/E 36.3, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-08-10: P/E 43.0, Significantly overvalued2026-08-14: P/E 43.0, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-08-17: P/E 44.0, Significantly overvalued2026-08-21: P/E 44.0, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-08-24: P/E 42.8, Significantly overvalued2026-08-27: P/E 42.8, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-08-28: P/E 42.8, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-08-30: P/E 42.8, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-08-31: P/E 43.9, Significantly overvalued2026-09-05: P/E 43.9, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-09-07: P/E 40.0, Significantly overvalued2026-09-12: P/E 40.0, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-09-14: P/E 38.8, Significantly overvalued2026-09-19: P/E 38.8, Significantly overvalued (recalculated)2026-09-21: P/E 37.7, Significantly overvalued30.040.0Jul 31Aug 13Aug 26Sep 8Sep 21Normal P/E 20.9
Attractively valuedFairly valuedAbove fair valueLarger dot: a stronger reading

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-07-31P/E 36.9+77%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-03P/E 36.3+74%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-17P/E 44.0+111%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-21P/E 37.7+81%Significantly overvalued ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is Turning Point Brands stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 37.7 versus its historical normal P/E of 20.9, Turning Point Brands trades about 81% above its typical valuation, with a PEG of 1.14 on 33.0% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it significantly overvalued.

What is Turning Point Brands's fair value and PEG?

Turning Point Brands trades at a blended P/E of 37.7 against a historical normal P/E of 20.9, a PEG of 1.14, and a forward growth estimate of 33.0%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 20.9 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-09-18 close of $68.14 corresponds to about $37.70 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of Turning Point Brands changed?

tickerseer's rating has been significantly overvalued since 2026-07-31.

What is the analyst price target for Turning Point Brands?

The mean Wall Street price target for Turning Point Brands is $125.17 across 6 analysts, 106.9% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Tobacco. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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