Advance Auto Parts (AAP, Automotive Retail) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Mixed on our tests
Advance Auto Parts (AAP, Automotive Retail) trades at a blended P/E of 13.8, about 23% below its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 23.6% and a PEG of 0.58. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 36% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 17.9 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $38.68 corresponds to about $50.30 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.
- Price $42.40 at the 2026-10-08 close, 2.4% above the 20-day average ($41.39) and 8.7% below the 50-day ($46.44).
- RSI (14) at 49.9.
- 52-week range $38.18 to $62.73: the price is 32.4% below the high and 11.1% above the low.
The Street vs SeerForecast
Wall Street's mean price target for AAP is $50.21 across 19 analysts, 18.4% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Hold. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: mixed on our tests. When the two disagree, start your digging there.
Valuation flags
- Misses analyst estimates often (55%)
Verdict history
tickerseer's rating has been mixed on our tests since 2026-08-14.
Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.
Selected weeks: the first, the latest, and the cheapest and dearest.
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Frequently asked questions
Is Advance Auto Parts stock overvalued?
At a blended P/E of 13.8 versus its historical normal P/E of 17.9, Advance Auto Parts trades about 23% below its typical valuation, with a PEG of 0.58 on 23.6% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it mixed on our tests.
What is Advance Auto Parts's fair value and PEG?
Advance Auto Parts trades at a blended P/E of 13.8 against a historical normal P/E of 17.9, a PEG of 0.58, and a forward growth estimate of 23.6%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 17.9 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $38.68 corresponds to about $50.30 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.
Has tickerseer's rating of Advance Auto Parts changed?
tickerseer's rating has been mixed on our tests since 2026-08-14.
What is the analyst price target for Advance Auto Parts?
The mean Wall Street price target for Advance Auto Parts is $50.21 across 19 analysts, 18.4% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.
Industry: Automotive Retail. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.
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