Home / Stocks / MUSA

Murphy USA (MUSA, Car dealers & parts stores) Stock Valuation & Fair Value

Mixed on our tests

Murphy USA (MUSA, Car dealers & parts stores) trades at a current P/E of 15.6, about 2% above its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of -0.3%. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 36% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 15.2 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-11-06 close of $521.89 corresponds to about $510 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

How to read these numbers: the PEG ratio and current P/E versus normal P/E.

DATA AS OF 2026-11-07
Current P/E
15.6
Normal P/E
15.2
PEG
—
Fwd growth
-0.3%
Div yield
0.6%
RSI (14)
49.5
Neutral
Technical context
  • Price $521.89 at the Nov 6 close, 1.3% below the 20-day average ($528.61) and 0.1% above the 50-day ($521.11).
  • RSI (14) at 49.5.
  • 52-week range $354.68 to $621.19: the price is 16.0% below the high and 47.1% above the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for MUSA is $616.00 across 10 analysts, 18.0% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: mixed on our tests. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating moved from trading above its usual valuation (2026-07-31) to mixed on our tests (2026-11-02). New rating rules took effect in the week of 2026-10-12, and this rating moved across that change, so part of the move may come from the new rules rather than the company.

Current P/E and rating by weekCurrent P/E moved from 20.7 to 16.0 between 2026-07-31 and 2026-10-30, against a normal P/E of 15.2, with 3 rating changes over 14 recorded weeks.2026-07-31: P/E 20.7, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-312026-07-31: P/E 20.4, Trading above its usual valuation, recorded live 2026-08-032026-08-07: P/E 20.4, Trading above its usual valuation, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-072026-08-07: P/E 16.9, Weak on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-102026-08-14: P/E 16.9, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-142026-08-14: P/E 18.4, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-172026-08-21: P/E 18.4, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-212026-08-21: P/E 18.3, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-242026-08-27: P/E 18.3, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-272026-08-28: P/E 18.3, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-282026-08-28: P/E 18.3, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-302026-08-28: P/E 16.1, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-312026-09-04: P/E 16.1, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-052026-09-04: P/E 16.3, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-072026-09-11: P/E 16.3, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-122026-09-11: P/E 16.6, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-142026-09-18: P/E 16.6, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-192026-09-18: P/E 16.5, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-212026-09-25: P/E 16.5, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-262026-09-25: P/E 16.0, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-282026-10-02: P/E 16.0, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-032026-10-02: P/E 16.0, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-10-052026-10-09: P/E 16.0, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-102026-10-09: P/E 16.3, Weak on forward returns, recorded live 2026-10-122026-10-16: P/E 16.3, Weak on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-172026-10-16: P/E 16.8, Weak on forward returns, recorded live 2026-10-192026-10-23: P/E 16.3, Weak on forward returns, recorded live 2026-10-262026-10-30: P/E 16.3, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-312026-10-30: P/E 16.0, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-11-0216.018.020.0Jul 31Aug 23Sep 15Oct 7Oct 30Normal P/E 15.2
Mixed on our testsTrading above its usual valuationWeak on forward returnsPoor on forward returnsLarger dot: a stronger reading

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated are worked out from the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, every week the rating moved, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekCurrent P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-07-31P/E 20.7+36%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-17P/E 18.4+21%Poor on forward returns
2026-10-12P/E 16.3+7%Weak on forward returns (across a rating rules change)
2026-10-31P/E 16.3+7%Mixed on our tests (recalculated) (across a rating rules change)
2026-11-02P/E 16.0+5%Mixed on our tests ← now
Show all 29 readings
WeekCurrent P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-07-31P/E 20.7+36%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-03P/E 20.4+34%Trading above its usual valuation
2026-08-07P/E 20.4+34%Trading above its usual valuation (recalculated)
2026-08-10P/E 16.9+11%Weak on forward returns
2026-08-14P/E 16.9+11%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-17P/E 18.4+21%Poor on forward returns
2026-08-21P/E 18.4+21%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-24P/E 18.3+21%Poor on forward returns
2026-08-27P/E 18.3+21%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-28P/E 18.3+21%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-30P/E 18.3+21%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-31P/E 16.1+6%Poor on forward returns
2026-09-05P/E 16.1+6%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-07P/E 16.3+7%Poor on forward returns
2026-09-12P/E 16.3+7%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-14P/E 16.6+9%Poor on forward returns
2026-09-19P/E 16.6+9%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-21P/E 16.5+9%Poor on forward returns
2026-09-26P/E 16.5+9%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-28P/E 16.0+5%Poor on forward returns
2026-10-03P/E 16.0+5%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 16.0+5%Poor on forward returns
2026-10-10P/E 16.0+5%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-10-12P/E 16.3+7%Weak on forward returns (across a rating rules change)
2026-10-17P/E 16.3+7%Weak on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-10-19P/E 16.8+10%Weak on forward returns
2026-10-26P/E 16.3+7%Weak on forward returns
2026-10-31P/E 16.3+7%Mixed on our tests (recalculated) (across a rating rules change)
2026-11-02P/E 16.0+5%Mixed on our tests ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is Murphy USA stock overvalued?

At a current P/E of 15.6 versus its historical normal P/E of 15.2, Murphy USA trades about 2% above its typical valuation. tickerseer currently rates it mixed on our tests.

What is Murphy USA's fair value and PEG?

Murphy USA trades at a current P/E of 15.6 against a historical normal P/E of 15.2, a forward growth estimate of -0.3%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 15.2 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-11-06 close of $521.89 corresponds to about $510 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of Murphy USA changed?

tickerseer's rating moved from trading above its usual valuation (2026-07-31) to mixed on our tests (2026-11-02). New rating rules took effect in the week of 2026-10-12, and this rating moved across that change, so part of the move may come from the new rules rather than the company.

What is the analyst price target for Murphy USA?

The mean Wall Street price target for Murphy USA is $616.00 across 10 analysts, 18.0% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Car dealers & parts stores. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and an AI research note where we have one. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

See the full analysis →🔔 Track MUSA free: valuation & earnings alerts

Get the free weekly earnings preview

One email each Monday with the week's named earnings setups, the reasoning, and what settled last week. Strikes and sizing stay in Premium.

It's free, and you can unsubscribe any time. We also send a short product update once a month. Educational content, not investment advice.