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O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY, Automotive Retail) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Significantly overvalued

O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY, Automotive Retail) trades at a blended P/E of 28.1, about 24% above its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 11.1% and a PEG of 2.54. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 64% of the time.

DATA AS OF 2026-08-21
Blended P/E
28.1
Normal P/E
22.6
PEG
2.54
Fwd growth
11.1%
Div yield
0.0%
RSI (14)
51.5
Neutral

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for ORLY is $108.17 across 24 analysts, 21.4% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: significantly overvalued. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating has been significantly overvalued since 2026-06-03.

Price and rating by weekClose moved +4.2 percent from 2026-06-03 to 2026-08-17, with 0 rating changes over 20 recorded weeks.2026-06-03: Significantly overvalued, close 87.38 (recalculated)2026-06-10: Significantly overvalued, close 90.46 (recalculated)2026-06-14: Significantly overvalued, close 91.02 (recalculated)2026-06-16: Significantly overvalued, close 90.68 (recalculated)2026-06-21: Significantly overvalued, close 86.84 (recalculated)2026-07-02: Significantly overvalued, close 90.25 (recalculated)2026-07-06: Significantly overvalued, close 84.24 (recalculated)2026-07-09: Significantly overvalued, close 85.12 (recalculated)2026-07-12: Significantly overvalued, close 86.28 (recalculated)2026-07-13: Significantly overvalued, close 87.28 (recalculated)2026-07-14: Significantly overvalued, close 85.75 (recalculated)2026-07-20: Significantly overvalued, close 84.53 (recalculated)2026-07-22: Significantly overvalued, close 86.53 (recalculated)2026-07-25: Significantly overvalued, close 87.40 (recalculated)2026-07-27: Significantly overvalued, close 90.59 (recalculated)2026-08-03: Significantly overvalued, close 89.352026-08-07: Significantly overvalued, close 93.53 (recalculated)2026-08-10: Significantly overvalued, close 93.532026-08-14: Significantly overvalued, close 91.05 (recalculated)2026-08-17: Significantly overvalued, close 91.0587912026-06-032026-08-17
Attractively valuedFairly valuedAbove fair valueLarger dot: a stronger reading

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

2026-06-03P/E 28.9+28%Significantly overvalued
2026-06-10P/E 29.2+29%Significantly overvalued
2026-06-14P/E 29.2+29%Significantly overvalued
2026-06-16P/E 29.2+29%Significantly overvalued
2026-06-21P/E 29.2+29%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-02P/E 29.8+32%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-06P/E 29.0+28%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-09P/E 29.0+28%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-12P/E 27.7+22%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-13P/E 27.7+22%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-14P/E 27.7+22%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-20P/E 27.5+22%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-22P/E 27.5+22%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-25P/E 27.9+23%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-27P/E 27.9+23%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-03P/E 28.4+25%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-07P/E 29.6+31%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-10P/E 29.6+31%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-14P/E 29.3+29%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-17P/E 28.8+27%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-21P/E 28.1+24%Significantly overvalued ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is O'Reilly Automotive stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 28.1 versus its historical normal P/E of 22.6, O'Reilly Automotive trades about 24% above its typical valuation, with a PEG of 2.54 on 11.1% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it significantly overvalued.

What is O'Reilly Automotive's fair value and PEG?

O'Reilly Automotive trades at a blended P/E of 28.1 against a historical normal P/E of 22.6, a PEG of 2.54, and a forward growth estimate of 11.1%.

Has tickerseer's rating of O'Reilly Automotive changed?

tickerseer's rating has been significantly overvalued since 2026-06-03.

What is the analyst price target for O'Reilly Automotive?

The mean Wall Street price target for O'Reilly Automotive is $108.17 across 24 analysts, 21.4% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Automotive Retail. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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