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O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY, Automotive Retail) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Poor on forward returns

O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY, Automotive Retail) trades at a blended P/E of 26.4, about 17% above its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 11.2% and a PEG of 2.35. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 64% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 22.6 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $84.90 corresponds to about $72.80 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

DATA AS OF 2026-10-05
Blended P/E
26.4
Normal P/E
22.6
PEG
2.35
Fwd growth
11.2%
Div yield
0.0%
RSI (14)
50.2
Neutral
Technical context
  • Price $86.01 at the 2026-10-08 close, 0.8% above the 20-day average ($85.30) and 2.2% below the 50-day ($87.98).
  • RSI (14) at 50.2.
  • 52-week range $82.73 to $103.05: the price is 16.5% below the high and 4.0% above the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for ORLY is $107.35 across 26 analysts, 24.8% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: poor on forward returns. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating has been poor on forward returns since 2026-06-03.

Blended P/E and rating by weekBlended P/E moved from 28.9 to 26.4 between 2026-06-03 and 2026-10-02, against a normal P/E of 22.6, with 0 rating changes over 36 recorded weeks.2026-06-03: P/E 28.9, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-032026-06-10: P/E 29.2, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-102026-06-12: P/E 29.2, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-142026-06-16: P/E 29.2, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-162026-06-18: P/E 29.2, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-212026-07-02: P/E 29.8, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-022026-07-06: P/E 29.0, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-062026-07-09: P/E 29.0, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-092026-07-10: P/E 27.7, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-122026-07-13: P/E 27.7, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-132026-07-14: P/E 27.7, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-142026-07-20: P/E 27.5, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-202026-07-22: P/E 27.5, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-222026-07-24: P/E 27.9, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-252026-07-27: P/E 27.9, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-272026-07-31: P/E 28.4, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-032026-08-07: P/E 29.6, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-072026-08-07: P/E 29.6, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-102026-08-14: P/E 29.3, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-142026-08-14: P/E 28.8, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-172026-08-21: P/E 28.1, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-212026-08-21: P/E 28.1, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-242026-08-27: P/E 28.1, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-272026-08-28: P/E 27.6, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-282026-08-28: P/E 27.9, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-302026-08-28: P/E 27.9, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-08-312026-09-04: P/E 27.6, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-052026-09-04: P/E 27.6, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-072026-09-11: P/E 26.9, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-122026-09-11: P/E 26.9, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-142026-09-18: P/E 26.5, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-192026-09-18: P/E 26.5, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-212026-09-25: P/E 26.9, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-262026-09-25: P/E 26.9, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-282026-10-02: P/E 26.4, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-032026-10-02: P/E 26.4, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-10-0524.026.028.0Jun 3Jul 3Aug 2Sep 2Oct 2Normal P/E 22.6
Poor on forward returns

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-03P/E 28.9+28%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-02P/E 29.8+32%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-10-03P/E 26.4+17%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 26.4+17%Poor on forward returns ← now
Show all 36 weeks
WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-03P/E 28.9+28%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-06-10P/E 29.2+29%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-06-14P/E 29.2+29%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-06-16P/E 29.2+29%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-06-21P/E 29.2+29%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-02P/E 29.8+32%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-06P/E 29.0+28%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-09P/E 29.0+28%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-12P/E 27.7+22%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-13P/E 27.7+22%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-14P/E 27.7+22%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-20P/E 27.5+22%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-22P/E 27.5+22%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-25P/E 27.9+23%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-07-27P/E 27.9+23%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-03P/E 28.4+25%Poor on forward returns
2026-08-07P/E 29.6+31%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-10P/E 29.6+31%Poor on forward returns
2026-08-14P/E 29.3+29%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-17P/E 28.8+27%Poor on forward returns
2026-08-21P/E 28.1+24%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-24P/E 28.1+24%Poor on forward returns
2026-08-27P/E 28.1+24%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-28P/E 27.6+22%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-30P/E 27.9+23%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-08-31P/E 27.9+23%Poor on forward returns
2026-09-05P/E 27.6+22%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-07P/E 27.6+22%Poor on forward returns
2026-09-12P/E 26.9+19%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-14P/E 26.9+19%Poor on forward returns
2026-09-19P/E 26.5+17%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-21P/E 26.5+17%Poor on forward returns
2026-09-26P/E 26.9+19%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-28P/E 26.9+19%Poor on forward returns
2026-10-03P/E 26.4+17%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 26.4+17%Poor on forward returns ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is O'Reilly Automotive stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 26.4 versus its historical normal P/E of 22.6, O'Reilly Automotive trades about 17% above its typical valuation, with a PEG of 2.35 on 11.2% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it poor on forward returns.

What is O'Reilly Automotive's fair value and PEG?

O'Reilly Automotive trades at a blended P/E of 26.4 against a historical normal P/E of 22.6, a PEG of 2.35, and a forward growth estimate of 11.2%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 22.6 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $84.90 corresponds to about $72.80 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of O'Reilly Automotive changed?

tickerseer's rating has been poor on forward returns since 2026-06-03.

What is the analyst price target for O'Reilly Automotive?

The mean Wall Street price target for O'Reilly Automotive is $107.35 across 26 analysts, 24.8% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Automotive Retail. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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