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Carvana (CVNA, Automotive Retail) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Fairly valued

Carvana (CVNA, Automotive Retail) trades at a blended P/E of 39.7, about 47% below its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 24.8% and a PEG of 1.60. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 75.4 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-09-18 close of $65.11 corresponds to about $124 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

DATA AS OF 2026-09-21
Blended P/E
39.7
Normal P/E
75.4
PEG
1.60
Fwd growth
24.8%
Div yield
0.0%
RSI (14)
38.5
Neutral
Technical context
  • Price $63.95 at the 2026-09-23 close, 9.8% below the 20-day average ($70.92) and 7.6% below the 50-day ($69.22).
  • RSI (14) at 38.5.
  • 52-week range $56.26 to $95.69: the price is 33.2% below the high and 13.7% above the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for CVNA is $82.97 across 20 analysts, 29.7% above the current price. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: fairly valued. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating moved from trading above fair value (2026-07-25) to fairly valued (2026-09-21).

Blended P/E and rating by weekBlended P/E moved from 37.8 to 39.7 between 2026-07-25 and 2026-09-21, against a normal P/E of 75.4, with 3 rating changes over 20 recorded weeks.2026-07-25: P/E 37.8, Trading above fair value (recalculated)2026-07-27: P/E 37.8, Trading above fair value (recalculated)2026-07-31: P/E 37.8, Trading above fair value (recalculated)2026-08-03: P/E 37.9, Fairly valued2026-08-07: P/E 37.9, Fairly valued (recalculated)2026-08-10: P/E 43.1, Trading above fair value2026-08-14: P/E 43.1, Trading above fair value (recalculated)2026-08-17: P/E 46.1, Trading above fair value2026-08-21: P/E 46.1, Trading above fair value (recalculated)2026-08-24: P/E 42.5, Trading above fair value2026-08-27: P/E 42.5, Trading above fair value (recalculated)2026-08-28: P/E 42.5, Trading above fair value (recalculated)2026-08-30: P/E 42.5, Trading above fair value (recalculated)2026-08-31: P/E 45.0, Trading above fair value2026-09-05: P/E 45.0, Trading above fair value (recalculated)2026-09-07: P/E 45.4, Trading above fair value2026-09-12: P/E 45.4, Trading above fair value (recalculated)2026-09-14: P/E 42.1, Trading above fair value2026-09-19: P/E 42.1, Trading above fair value (recalculated)2026-09-21: P/E 39.7, Fairly valued40.050.060.070.0Jul 25Aug 8Aug 23Sep 7Sep 21Normal P/E 75.4
Attractively valuedFairly valuedAbove fair valueLarger dot: a stronger reading

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, every week the rating moved, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-07-25P/E 37.8-50%Trading above fair value
2026-08-03P/E 37.9-50%Fairly valued
2026-08-10P/E 43.1-43%Trading above fair value
2026-08-17P/E 46.1-39%Trading above fair value
2026-09-21P/E 39.7-47%Fairly valued ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is Carvana stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 39.7 versus its historical normal P/E of 75.4, Carvana trades about 47% below its typical valuation, with a PEG of 1.60 on 24.8% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it fairly valued.

What is Carvana's fair value and PEG?

Carvana trades at a blended P/E of 39.7 against a historical normal P/E of 75.4, a PEG of 1.60, and a forward growth estimate of 24.8%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 75.4 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-09-18 close of $65.11 corresponds to about $124 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of Carvana changed?

tickerseer's rating moved from trading above fair value (2026-07-25) to fairly valued (2026-09-21).

What is the analyst price target for Carvana?

The mean Wall Street price target for Carvana is $82.97 across 20 analysts, 29.7% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Automotive Retail. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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