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Costco Wholesale (COST, Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Significantly overvalued

Costco Wholesale (COST, Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail) trades at a blended P/E of 45.6, about 52% above its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 10.4% and a PEG of 4.38. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 82% of the time.

DATA AS OF 2026-08-21
Blended P/E
45.6
Normal P/E
30.1
PEG
4.38
Fwd growth
10.4%
Div yield
0.6%
RSI (14)
54.0
Neutral

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for COST is $1,077.31 across 35 analysts, 13.7% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: significantly overvalued. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating has been significantly overvalued since 2026-06-03.

Price and rating by weekClose moved +0.1 percent from 2026-06-03 to 2026-08-17, with 0 rating changes over 21 recorded weeks.2026-06-03: Significantly overvalued, close 960.30 (recalculated)2026-06-10: Significantly overvalued, close 981.81 (recalculated)2026-06-14: Significantly overvalued, close 980.79 (recalculated)2026-06-16: Significantly overvalued, close 985.11 (recalculated)2026-06-21: Significantly overvalued, close 949.94 (recalculated)2026-07-02: Significantly overvalued, close 950.16 (recalculated)2026-07-06: Significantly overvalued, close 948.74 (recalculated)2026-07-09: Significantly overvalued, close 911.52 (recalculated)2026-07-12: Significantly overvalued, close 914.80 (recalculated)2026-07-13: Significantly overvalued, close 924.96 (recalculated)2026-07-14: Significantly overvalued, close 920.29 (recalculated)2026-07-20: Significantly overvalued, close 934.31 (recalculated)2026-07-22: Significantly overvalued, close 925.84 (recalculated)2026-07-25: Significantly overvalued, close 935.03 (recalculated)2026-07-27: Significantly overvalued, close 951.58 (recalculated)2026-07-31: Significantly overvalued, close 951.89 (recalculated)2026-08-03: Significantly overvalued, close 951.892026-08-07: Significantly overvalued, close 947.82 (recalculated)2026-08-10: Significantly overvalued, close 947.822026-08-14: Significantly overvalued, close 961.10 (recalculated)2026-08-17: Significantly overvalued, close 961.109609612026-06-032026-08-17
Attractively valuedFairly valuedAbove fair valueLarger dot: a stronger reading

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

2026-06-03P/E 50.0+66%Significantly overvalued
2026-06-10P/E 48.7+62%Significantly overvalued
2026-06-14P/E 48.7+62%Significantly overvalued
2026-06-16P/E 48.7+62%Significantly overvalued
2026-06-21P/E 48.7+62%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-02P/E 46.0+53%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-06P/E 47.3+57%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-09P/E 47.3+57%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-12P/E 45.4+51%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-13P/E 45.4+51%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-14P/E 45.4+51%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-20P/E 46.5+55%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-22P/E 46.5+55%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-25P/E 46.1+53%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-27P/E 46.1+53%Significantly overvalued
2026-07-31P/E 47.0+56%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-03P/E 46.9+56%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-07P/E 46.6+55%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-10P/E 46.5+55%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-14P/E 47.1+57%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-17P/E 47.1+57%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-21P/E 45.6+52%Significantly overvalued ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is Costco Wholesale stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 45.6 versus its historical normal P/E of 30.1, Costco Wholesale trades about 52% above its typical valuation, with a PEG of 4.38 on 10.4% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it significantly overvalued.

What is Costco Wholesale's fair value and PEG?

Costco Wholesale trades at a blended P/E of 45.6 against a historical normal P/E of 30.1, a PEG of 4.38, and a forward growth estimate of 10.4%.

Has tickerseer's rating of Costco Wholesale changed?

tickerseer's rating has been significantly overvalued since 2026-06-03.

What is the analyst price target for Costco Wholesale?

The mean Wall Street price target for Costco Wholesale is $1,077.31 across 35 analysts, 13.7% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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