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MercadoLibre (MELI, Online & department stores) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Mixed on our tests

MercadoLibre (MELI, Online & department stores) trades at a current P/E of 48.8, about 36% below its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 34.8% and a PEG of 1.40. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 76.8 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-09 close of $1,889.85 corresponds to about $2,970 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

DATA AS OF 2026-10-12
Current P/E
48.8
Normal P/E
76.8
PEG
1.40
Fwd growth
34.8%
Div yield
0.0%
RSI (14)
57.7
Neutral
Technical context
  • Price $1,892.44 at the 2026-10-12 close, 5.1% above the 20-day average ($1,800.61) and 1.6% above the 50-day ($1,862.65).
  • RSI (14) at 57.7.
  • 52-week range $1,546.81 to $2,360.76: the price is 19.8% below the high and 22.3% above the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for MELI is $2,275.78 across 26 analysts, 20.3% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: mixed on our tests. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating moved from strong on our tests (2026-06-14) to mixed on our tests (2026-10-12).

Current P/E and rating by weekCurrent P/E moved from 42.8 to 48.8 between 2026-06-12 and 2026-10-09, against a normal P/E of 76.8, with 3 rating changes over 37 recorded weeks.2026-06-12: P/E 42.8, Strong on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-142026-06-16: P/E 42.8, Strong on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-162026-06-18: P/E 42.8, Strong on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-212026-07-02: P/E 42.8, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-022026-07-06: P/E 42.8, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-062026-07-09: P/E 42.8, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-092026-07-10: P/E 42.8, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-122026-07-13: P/E 42.8, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-132026-07-14: P/E 42.8, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-142026-07-20: P/E 42.8, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-202026-07-22: P/E 46.3, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-222026-07-24: P/E 46.3, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-252026-07-27: P/E 46.3, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-272026-07-31: P/E 46.3, Favorable on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-312026-07-31: P/E 47.7, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-08-032026-08-07: P/E 47.7, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-072026-08-07: P/E 46.8, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-08-102026-08-14: P/E 46.8, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-142026-08-14: P/E 47.4, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-08-172026-08-21: P/E 47.4, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-212026-08-21: P/E 49.4, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-08-242026-08-27: P/E 49.4, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-272026-08-28: P/E 49.4, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-282026-08-28: P/E 49.4, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-302026-08-28: P/E 50.6, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-08-312026-09-04: P/E 50.6, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-052026-09-04: P/E 50.9, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-09-072026-09-11: P/E 50.9, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-122026-09-11: P/E 48.9, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-09-142026-09-18: P/E 48.9, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-192026-09-18: P/E 46.0, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-09-212026-09-25: P/E 45.2, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-262026-09-25: P/E 45.2, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-09-282026-10-02: P/E 43.8, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-032026-10-02: P/E 43.8, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-10-052026-10-09: P/E 48.8, Mixed on our tests, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-102026-10-09: P/E 48.8, Mixed on our tests, recorded live 2026-10-1250.060.070.0Jun 12Jul 12Aug 11Sep 9Oct 9Normal P/E 76.8
Strong on our testsFavorable on our testsMixed on our testsLarger dot: a stronger reading

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated are worked out from the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, every week the rating moved, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekCurrent P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-14P/E 42.8-44%Strong on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-02P/E 42.8-44%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-22P/E 46.3-40%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-03P/E 47.7-38%Mixed on our tests
2026-09-07P/E 50.9-34%Mixed on our tests
2026-10-12P/E 48.8-36%Mixed on our tests ← now
Show all 37 weeks
WeekCurrent P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-14P/E 42.8-44%Strong on our tests (recalculated)
2026-06-16P/E 42.8-44%Strong on our tests (recalculated)
2026-06-21P/E 42.8-44%Strong on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-02P/E 42.8-44%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-06P/E 42.8-44%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-09P/E 42.8-44%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-12P/E 42.8-44%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-13P/E 42.8-44%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-14P/E 42.8-44%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-20P/E 42.8-44%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-22P/E 46.3-40%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-25P/E 46.3-40%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-27P/E 46.3-40%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-07-31P/E 46.3-40%Favorable on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-03P/E 47.7-38%Mixed on our tests
2026-08-07P/E 47.7-38%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-10P/E 46.8-39%Mixed on our tests
2026-08-14P/E 46.8-39%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-17P/E 47.4-38%Mixed on our tests
2026-08-21P/E 47.4-38%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-24P/E 49.4-36%Mixed on our tests
2026-08-27P/E 49.4-36%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-28P/E 49.4-36%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-30P/E 49.4-36%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-08-31P/E 50.6-34%Mixed on our tests
2026-09-05P/E 50.6-34%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-09-07P/E 50.9-34%Mixed on our tests
2026-09-12P/E 50.9-34%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-09-14P/E 48.9-36%Mixed on our tests
2026-09-19P/E 48.9-36%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-09-21P/E 46.0-40%Mixed on our tests
2026-09-26P/E 45.2-41%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-09-28P/E 45.2-41%Mixed on our tests
2026-10-03P/E 43.8-43%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 43.8-43%Mixed on our tests
2026-10-10P/E 48.8-36%Mixed on our tests (recalculated)
2026-10-12P/E 48.8-36%Mixed on our tests ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is MercadoLibre stock overvalued?

At a current P/E of 48.8 versus its historical normal P/E of 76.8, MercadoLibre trades about 36% below its typical valuation, with a PEG of 1.40 on 34.8% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it mixed on our tests.

What is MercadoLibre's fair value and PEG?

MercadoLibre trades at a current P/E of 48.8 against a historical normal P/E of 76.8, a PEG of 1.40, and a forward growth estimate of 34.8%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 76.8 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-09 close of $1,889.85 corresponds to about $2,970 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of MercadoLibre changed?

tickerseer's rating moved from strong on our tests (2026-06-14) to mixed on our tests (2026-10-12).

What is the analyst price target for MercadoLibre?

The mean Wall Street price target for MercadoLibre is $2,275.78 across 26 analysts, 20.3% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Online & department stores. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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