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Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL, Cargo Ground Transportation) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Poor on forward returns

Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL, Cargo Ground Transportation) trades at a blended P/E of 32.2, about 35% above its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 15.1% and a PEG of 2.13. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 36% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 23.9 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $180.48 corresponds to about $134 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

DATA AS OF 2026-10-05
Blended P/E
32.2
Normal P/E
23.9
PEG
2.13
Fwd growth
15.1%
Div yield
0.6%
RSI (14)
48.9
Neutral
Technical context
  • Price $181.65 at the 2026-10-08 close, 2.5% above the 20-day average ($177.26) and 5.7% below the 50-day ($192.54).
  • RSI (14) at 48.9.
  • 52-week range $125.51 to $248.34: the price is 26.9% below the high and 44.7% above the low.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for ODFL is $227.95 across 22 analysts, 25.5% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: poor on forward returns. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating has not changed since 2026-06-03, but its reason has: it read significantly overvalued then and reads poor on forward returns now.

Blended P/E and rating by weekBlended P/E moved from 43.8 to 32.2 between 2026-06-03 and 2026-10-02, against a normal P/E of 23.9, with 0 rating changes over 37 recorded weeks.2026-06-03: P/E 43.8, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-032026-06-10: P/E 47.6, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-102026-06-12: P/E 47.6, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-142026-06-16: P/E 47.6, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-162026-06-18: P/E 47.6, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-212026-07-02: P/E 42.0, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-022026-07-06: P/E 42.0, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-062026-07-09: P/E 42.0, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-092026-07-10: P/E 43.5, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-122026-07-13: P/E 43.5, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-132026-07-14: P/E 43.5, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-142026-07-20: P/E 44.5, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-202026-07-22: P/E 44.5, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-222026-07-24: P/E 44.2, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-252026-07-27: P/E 44.2, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-272026-07-31: P/E 39.4, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-312026-07-31: P/E 39.3, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-032026-08-07: P/E 39.0, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-072026-08-07: P/E 39.9, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-102026-08-14: P/E 39.7, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-142026-08-14: P/E 38.8, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-172026-08-21: P/E 37.5, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-212026-08-21: P/E 37.8, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-242026-08-27: P/E 37.8, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-272026-08-28: P/E 36.5, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-282026-08-28: P/E 36.3, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-302026-08-28: P/E 36.3, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-312026-09-04: P/E 33.8, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-052026-09-04: P/E 33.8, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-072026-09-11: P/E 32.4, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-122026-09-11: P/E 32.4, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-142026-09-18: P/E 31.1, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-192026-09-18: P/E 31.1, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-212026-09-25: P/E 31.1, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-262026-09-25: P/E 31.1, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-09-282026-10-02: P/E 32.2, Poor on forward returns, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-032026-10-02: P/E 32.2, Poor on forward returns, recorded live 2026-10-0530.040.0Jun 3Jul 3Aug 2Sep 2Oct 2Normal P/E 23.9
Significantly overvaluedPoor on forward returns

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-03P/E 43.8+83%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-06-10P/E 47.6+99%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-26P/E 31.1+30%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 32.2+35%Poor on forward returns ← now
Show all 37 weeks
WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-03P/E 43.8+83%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-06-10P/E 47.6+99%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-06-14P/E 47.6+99%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-06-16P/E 47.6+99%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-06-21P/E 47.6+99%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-02P/E 42.0+76%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-06P/E 42.0+76%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-09P/E 42.0+76%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-12P/E 43.5+82%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-13P/E 43.5+82%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-14P/E 43.5+82%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-20P/E 44.5+86%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-22P/E 44.5+86%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-25P/E 44.2+85%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-27P/E 44.2+85%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-31P/E 39.4+65%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-03P/E 39.3+64%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-07P/E 39.0+63%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-10P/E 39.9+67%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-14P/E 39.7+66%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-17P/E 38.8+62%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-21P/E 37.5+57%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-24P/E 37.8+58%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-27P/E 37.8+58%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-28P/E 36.5+53%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-30P/E 36.3+52%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-31P/E 36.3+52%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-05P/E 33.8+42%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-07P/E 33.8+42%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-12P/E 32.4+36%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-14P/E 32.4+36%Poor on forward returns
2026-09-19P/E 31.1+30%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-21P/E 31.1+30%Poor on forward returns
2026-09-26P/E 31.1+30%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-09-28P/E 31.1+30%Poor on forward returns
2026-10-03P/E 32.2+35%Poor on forward returns (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 32.2+35%Poor on forward returns ← now

Frequently asked questions

Is Old Dominion Freight Line stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 32.2 versus its historical normal P/E of 23.9, Old Dominion Freight Line trades about 35% above its typical valuation, with a PEG of 2.13 on 15.1% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it poor on forward returns.

What is Old Dominion Freight Line's fair value and PEG?

Old Dominion Freight Line trades at a blended P/E of 32.2 against a historical normal P/E of 23.9, a PEG of 2.13, and a forward growth estimate of 15.1%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 23.9 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $180.48 corresponds to about $134 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of Old Dominion Freight Line changed?

tickerseer's rating has not changed since 2026-06-03, but its reason has: it read significantly overvalued then and reads poor on forward returns now.

What is the analyst price target for Old Dominion Freight Line?

The mean Wall Street price target for Old Dominion Freight Line is $227.95 across 22 analysts, 25.5% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Cargo Ground Transportation. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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