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Texas Instruments (TXN, Semiconductors) Stock Valuation & Fair Value Significantly overvalued

Texas Instruments (TXN, Semiconductors) trades at a blended P/E of 37.8, about 80% above its historical normal valuation, with a forward growth estimate of 16.6% and a PEG of 2.28. Analysts' one-year estimates have been hit 27% of the time. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 20.9 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $293.80 corresponds to about $163 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

DATA AS OF 2026-10-05
Blended P/E
37.8
Normal P/E
20.9
PEG
2.28
Fwd growth
16.6%
Div yield
2.1%
RSI (14)
60.5
Neutral
Technical context
  • Price $288.20 at the 2026-10-08 close, 4.2% above the 20-day average ($276.46) and 6.1% above the 50-day ($271.75).
  • RSI (14) at 60.5.
  • 52-week range $150.79 to $330.59: the price is 12.8% below the high and 91.1% above the low.
  • At its last earnings report the options market priced a 9% move.

The Street vs SeerForecast

Wall Street's mean price target for TXN is $324.71 across 31 analysts, 12.7% above the current price. The average analyst rating is Buy. Our SeerForecast read of the same stock, formed without analyst targets: significantly overvalued. When the two disagree, start your digging there.

Valuation flags

Verdict history

tickerseer's rating has been significantly overvalued since 2026-06-03.

Blended P/E and rating by weekBlended P/E moved from 49.7 to 37.8 between 2026-06-03 and 2026-10-02, against a normal P/E of 20.9, with 0 rating changes over 37 recorded weeks.2026-06-03: P/E 49.7, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-032026-06-10: P/E 44.5, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-102026-06-12: P/E 44.5, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-142026-06-16: P/E 44.5, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-162026-06-18: P/E 44.5, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-06-212026-07-02: P/E 45.4, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-022026-07-06: P/E 44.5, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-062026-07-09: P/E 44.5, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-092026-07-10: P/E 47.0, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-122026-07-13: P/E 47.0, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-132026-07-14: P/E 47.0, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-142026-07-20: P/E 42.2, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-202026-07-22: P/E 42.2, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-222026-07-24: P/E 39.0, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-252026-07-27: P/E 39.0, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-272026-07-31: P/E 38.7, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-07-312026-07-31: P/E 38.1, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-032026-08-07: P/E 38.2, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-072026-08-07: P/E 39.2, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-102026-08-14: P/E 37.2, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-142026-08-14: P/E 38.0, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-172026-08-21: P/E 35.9, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-212026-08-21: P/E 35.6, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-242026-08-27: P/E 35.6, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-272026-08-28: P/E 35.7, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-282026-08-28: P/E 34.6, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-08-302026-08-28: P/E 34.6, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-08-312026-09-04: P/E 34.3, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-052026-09-04: P/E 34.3, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-072026-09-11: P/E 35.4, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-122026-09-11: P/E 35.4, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-142026-09-18: P/E 34.8, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-192026-09-18: P/E 34.8, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-212026-09-25: P/E 36.1, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-09-262026-09-25: P/E 36.1, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-09-282026-10-02: P/E 37.8, Significantly overvalued, recalculated for the week of 2026-10-032026-10-02: P/E 37.8, Significantly overvalued, recorded live 2026-10-0530.040.0Jun 3Jul 3Aug 2Sep 2Oct 2Normal P/E 20.9
Significantly overvalued

Not every point was recorded live. Points marked recalculated apply today's valuation rules to the metrics tickerseer archived that week.

Selected weeks: the first, the latest, and the cheapest and dearest.

WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-03P/E 49.7+137%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-05P/E 34.3+64%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 37.8+80%Significantly overvalued ← now
Show all 37 weeks
WeekBlended P/EPremium to normal P/ERating
2026-06-03P/E 49.7+137%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-06-10P/E 44.5+112%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-06-14P/E 44.5+112%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-06-16P/E 44.5+112%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-06-21P/E 44.5+112%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-02P/E 45.4+117%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-06P/E 44.5+113%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-09P/E 44.5+113%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-12P/E 47.0+124%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-13P/E 47.0+124%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-14P/E 47.0+124%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-20P/E 42.2+101%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-22P/E 42.2+101%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-25P/E 39.0+86%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-27P/E 39.0+86%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-07-31P/E 38.7+85%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-03P/E 38.1+82%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-07P/E 38.2+82%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-10P/E 39.2+87%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-14P/E 37.2+78%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-17P/E 38.0+81%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-21P/E 35.9+71%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-24P/E 35.6+70%Significantly overvalued
2026-08-27P/E 35.6+70%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-28P/E 35.7+70%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-30P/E 34.6+65%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-08-31P/E 34.6+65%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-05P/E 34.3+64%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-07P/E 34.3+64%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-12P/E 35.4+69%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-14P/E 35.4+69%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-19P/E 34.8+66%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-21P/E 34.8+66%Significantly overvalued
2026-09-26P/E 36.1+72%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-09-28P/E 36.1+72%Significantly overvalued
2026-10-03P/E 37.8+80%Significantly overvalued (recalculated)
2026-10-05P/E 37.8+80%Significantly overvalued ← now

Earnings moves: TXN moved more than the options market implied in 0 of 1 recent tracked reports.

Frequently asked questions

Is Texas Instruments stock overvalued?

At a blended P/E of 37.8 versus its historical normal P/E of 20.9, Texas Instruments trades about 80% above its typical valuation, with a PEG of 2.28 on 16.6% forward growth. tickerseer currently rates it significantly overvalued.

What is Texas Instruments's fair value and PEG?

Texas Instruments trades at a blended P/E of 37.8 against a historical normal P/E of 20.9, a PEG of 2.28, and a forward growth estimate of 16.6%. Priced at its historical normal P/E of 20.9 on the same blended earnings, the 2026-10-02 close of $293.80 corresponds to about $163 a share. This is a valuation reference, not a price target.

Has tickerseer's rating of Texas Instruments changed?

tickerseer's rating has been significantly overvalued since 2026-06-03.

What is the analyst price target for Texas Instruments?

The mean Wall Street price target for Texas Instruments is $324.71 across 31 analysts, 12.7% above the current price. tickerseer's SeerForecast verdict is formed independently of analyst targets.

Industry: Semiconductors. Create a free account to see the full analysis: the SeerAI score, its five quality sub-scores, valuation history, and the AI research note. Options setups and metric history are part of the paid plans.

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